O/A Rank Top-10 QB's
14 Mitch Trubisky
16 Deshaun Watson
29 Brad Kaaya
44 Patrick Mahomes II
55 DeShone Kizer
83 Nathan Peterman
101 Chad Kelly
107 Davis Webb
125 Jerod Evans
156 Joshua Dobbs
Source Link:
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2017 NFL Mock Draft #7: O.J. Howard advances to Browns and pick #12

Consensus Mock Draft #7 | February 16, 2017 1:10 AM EST
  • Niners kick tires on Mitch Trubisky
  • Plunger of the week - Fournette to Ravens at #16
  • Cards bolster offense with Watson, Ford, Johnson


1 Cleveland
Myles Garrett
    Texas A&M
    EDGE
    Reach/Value:     -1
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
262
Alternate Pick #1
Marlon Humphrey
Alternate Pick #2
Malik Hooker

The drafting of Garrett will be the next step in the rebuilding process that has taken place over the last two years on the Browns' front seven. Garrett will instantly become the most disruptive presence on a group that includes Danny Shelton (RD1 pick '15), Emmanuel Ogbah (RD2, '16), Christian Kirksey (third-most tackles in NFL, '16), and Jamie Collins (Second Team All-Pro, '15). I have regularly stated that this team is in dire need of talent, and this unit has been the beneficiary of it, including this addition of a player that is set to wreak havoc in backfields for a long time. With four more picks in the first three rounds, there will be plenty more opportunities to add talent, and I would suggest they take the same strategy they used here, by taking the clear-cut best player on the board. ~Austin Smith


2 San Francisco
Mitch Trubisky
    North Carolina
    QB
    Reach/Value:     -12
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
220
Alternate Pick #1
Mike Williams
Alternate Pick #2
Solomon Thomas

In last week's mock, the 49ers addressed the ailing receiving corps by taking Clemson's Mike Williams with the second-overall pick and holding out on a QB until RD2; this week, however, QB reclaims the top spot. With Colin Kaepernick open to remaining in San Francisco in 2017, I can see the 49ers taking an approach similar to what the Eagles did last year: Keep the incumbent starter as the tentative number one, bring in a backup who knows the system (Matt Schaub perhaps), and use the number-two-overall pick on a talented QB with obvious NFL traits, but who may need a year to adapt to an NFL offense, in this case, Trubisky. This sets the team up with three viable options headed into camp where each brings something different to the table, and addresses the team's most-pressing need in both the short- and long-term. The 49ers may have to restructure Kaepernick's deal again, or have him opt out and re-sign, but in a thin QB market, Kaepernick showed flashes late in the year that may convince the new staff that he's at least an upgrade over Schaub as a bridge QB.

While Trubisky may be inexperienced as a starter, he may be helped by the fact that he played in a system that forced him to read defenses and adjust calls at the line and after the snap. Trubisky isn't a perfect prospect, but he is an ideal fit for Shanahan's offense. The proposed three-pronged approach gives the team the option to bring him along as quickly or as slowly as they deem necessary.


3 Chicago
Jonathan Allen
    Alabama
    DL3T
    Reach/Value:     +2
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
272
Alternate Pick #1
Marlon Humphrey
Alternate Pick #2
Malik Hooker

It isn't difficult to continually make this pick. Allen is a premier defensive player who will fit in perfectly with Fox, Fangio & Co. Any Bears fan should be ecstatic that this pick comes with so little angst. Look at San Francisco - they are scrambling because they don't know what to do, and whatever they do, it won't involve a no-brainer pick like Allen. That puts GM Ryan Pace in the catbird seat come April 27th. The real test for Mr. Pace will be how he spends $60M in cap space during the 52 days between March 7th and Draft Day.

The real benefit to having room to add free-agent talent is that it will keep the Bears from reaching at this #3 spot. Allowing for the possibility of players being franchised or re-signed, there are still a number of players who could fill holes that the Bears might otherwise reach to fill with this early pick. Most notably, Pace would be wise to fill the secondary with experienced talent rather than rolling the dice on taking a DB higher than normal. At CB, players like Stephon Gilmore, Morris Claiborne, AJ Bouye, or Logan Ryan won't need the developmental time of a Marlon Humphrey or Marshon Lattimore. At Safety, Chicago may be better served to avoid having a rookie like Jamal Adams or Malik Hooker lead the defensive backfield if they can entice someone like Jonathan Cyprien or Barry Church to join the Blue and Orange.


4 Jacksonville
Derek Barnett
    Tennessee
    EDGE
    Reach/Value:     -7
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
265
Alternate Pick #1
Malik Hooker
Alternate Pick #2
Jamal Adams

With the influence of Tom Coughlin now pervading the Jaguars' front office, the scouting staff is asked to turn attention to fortifying the trenches in the upcoming draft. Previous pick Malik Hooker was actually one of two players the team has at the top of their board, the other being Tennessee DE Derek Barnett. While Myles Garrett seems the consensus choice as the top edge-rush specialist in the draft, closer examination reveals that Barnett was much more effective against better opposition over their 3-year college careers. Derek had 29 of his 33 sacks against SEC competition, while Garrett had just 12 of his 32.5 in conference.

That emphasizes a significant attitude difference between the two players, with Barnett coming across as being far more team-oriented. The alleged "athletic advantage" given to Garrett certainly didn't show up when both were tested as recruits. Barnett ran significantly faster and posted a much-higher SPARQ score, despite being 30 pounds heavier. It turns out that the "4.4 speed and 40" vertical" accredited to Garrett came from the player himself, not in a test situation. The Combine is yet to come, but it's hard to find fault with the versatile, dedicated, down-to-earth Volunteer. He'll only be 20 years old at the draft, and he broke the sack record of the iconic Reggie White before opting to turn pro.


5 Tennessee
Marlon Humphrey
    Alabama
    CB
    Reach/Value:     +1
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
193
Alternate Pick #1
Marshon Lattimore
Alternate Pick #2
Mike Williams

If Tennessee needs one thing more than anything else, it's secondary help. Tennessee allowed over 269 yards per game, tied for 30th in the NFL this past season. They cut Perrish Cox midway through the season after performing poorly, and didn't succeed in finding a suitable replacement. Kevin Byard was the Titans's top-ranked player by Pro Football Focus , but even then, he was the 42nd-ranked Safety in the NFL. So all starting positions are up for grabs heading into 2017.

Fortunately, this is a strong secondary class, with HALF of DraftTek's current Top 10 prospects playing in the secondary. Here, they opt for the top-ranked of them all, Cornerback Marlon Humphrey. One concern regarding Humphrey is his failure to appear on any All-SEC teams this past season. Jon Robinson's first draft was full of players with strong college production and award recognition on their resume'. Humphrey is not necessarily lacking (he broke up 13 passes and intercepted five during his college career), so he fits the mold. Would Robinson value a player who wasn't viewed as one of the top in his conference this past season?


6 NY Jets
Malik Hooker
    Ohio St
    S
    Reach/Value:     +1
Height:
6'2"
Weight:
205
Alternate Pick #1
Marshon Lattimore
Alternate Pick #2
Leonard Fournette

We change it up a little with this week's pick, opting to strengthen the FS position and take Ohio State standout Malik Hooker here. The Jets are tied with Chicago as the team with the worst turnover differential in the NFL (-20). That's a serious drop from Todd Bowles' rookie 10-6 season, when the Jets had a +6 turnover differential. With just 8 interceptions as a team in 2016, the Jets need serious improvement in the "INT" department. The Safety duo of Marcus Gilchrist (2) and Calvin Pryor (0) have struggled in this area. We'd have to go all the way back to 2007 to find a Jets' Safety with more than 3 Interceptions: that would be Kerry Rhodes with 5.

Malik Hooker has been a ball hawk for the Buckeyes this year, picking off 7 passes and returning 3 of those for TDs. Having a FS like Hooker would be a huge upgrade at the position, but it should also have the effect of helping the CBs and pass rush.


7 LA Chargers
Mike Williams
    Clemson
    WRF
    Reach/Value:     +0
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
220
Alternate Pick #1
Leonard Fournette
Alternate Pick #2
Jamal Adams

Mike Williams is probably one of the more polarizing early-round prospects in the draft community right now. Some look at his highlight reel or the impressive performances in his Sophomore year (or later on in his red-shirt Junior year) and point to his ceiling. This camp would say he's worth a Top 10 pick. Others look at his projection to the pro game and question whether he will be able to create enough consistent separation from defensive backs to be a true #1 NFL wide receiver. This group seems to be giving him an early Day 2 grade, collectively.

The criticism might be fair, but Williams makes some plays that, quite frankly, only a handful of guys can make. His combination of length, body control, hands, and catch radius are unparalleled in this draft. Not only that, he's a gamer. He made a lot of big plays for Clemson in the biggest drives of games. For that, I'd say he's absolutely worth the 7th-overall pick in this NFL Draft. And that's not all, folks... when you check out the comparison from our very own Austin Smith, you really see how this pick makes a lot of sense the for Chargers.


8 Carolina
Jamal Adams
    LSU
    S
    Reach/Value:     +2
Height:
6'0"
Weight:
211
Alternate Pick #1
Leonard Fournette
Alternate Pick #2
Solomon Thomas

This is the one player that Panther Nation wants more than even Leonard Fournette. Jamal Adams would solidify the young defensive backfield that went from first in the league in turnovers to next to last. Adams, whose father played for the Giants, would fit right in next to Kurt Coleman and bring stability back to the back seven. Watch how he reads plays and sniffs things out as they are happening and you'll see that he fits in with Luke Kuechly and company very well.

The Combine is going to be crucial for Adams. At 6'1 and 215 lbs., he is going to have to show 4.5 type speed as well as some strength on the bench press to prove he belongs in the elite rankings. I think he does and would love to have him in Carolina, even more than Fournette. ~@PanthersDrafter, Panthers Analyst


9 Cincinnati
Solomon Thomas
    Stanford
    EDGE
    Reach/Value:     +1
Height:
6'2"
Weight:
275
Alternate Pick #1
Takkarist McKinley
Alternate Pick #2
Leonard Fournette

With their RD1 pick this week, the Bengals once again look at bolstering their defensive line with Stanford's DE Solomon Thomas. Cincy's defense was respectable in almost every major defensive category (11th in Sacks, 11th in Pass YDS Allowed, 8th in PTS/G), but "respectable" doesn't put fear into many opposing NFL offensive coordinators. Cincinnati is used to trotting some pretty long-bodied athletes out there at defensive end, so Thomas' shorter, squattier build (6'2" 275lbs) will be a deviation from that.

There is some concern whether Thomas' background as a 3-4 DE will hinder his transition to the Bengal's 4-3 defense. However unlike more traditional 3-4 teams, Stanford utilizes more of a 1-gap attacking scheme similar to those used by most 4-3 defenses, so this concern may be unwarranted. For people looking to find flaws in Thomas' game, don't go asking anyone in Tar Heel Country for help...Thomas was a beast in the Sun Bowl. Check out Solomon Thomas in action here.


10 Buffalo
Jabrill Peppers
    Michigan
    S
    Reach/Value:     +0
Height:
6'0"
Weight:
208
Alternate Pick #1
Ryan Ramczyk
Alternate Pick #2
Deshaun Watson

Peppers was the first in Big Ten history to win the B1G trifecta: Defensive Player of the Year (yes, over Hooker), Linebacker of the Year, and Return Specialist of the Year. An All-American and Heisman Trophy finalist, Peppers would be a playmaker in McDermott's "Shaq Thompson LB/Box Safety" role. His versatility is a trait Doug Whaley adores.

We know the Bills are going to need 3-4 Safeties, by re-signings, Free Agency, or by Draft. Aaron Williams is a big wild card, with his second neck injury in two years. We'll find out soon if he returns to football. Safeties play a huge role in the McDermott Defense, and, not including Aaron, the Bills have two free agents each at SS (Ihedigbo, Blanton) and FS (Sergio Brown, Meeks). I expect Doug Whaley to fill AT LEAST one Safety hole before April 27th. It's very possible that the Bills would also "double-dip" in the Safety-rich draft. There are options in RD2 and beyond who also fit MCDermott's LB/S mold: Xavier Woods caught a Bills' interview at the Shrine Game, and BC's John Johnson had Bills' scouts at two of his games. ~Dean Kindig, Bills Analyst


11 New Orleans
Reuben Foster
    Alabama
    ILB
    Reach/Value:     -1
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
240
Alternate Pick #1
Marshon Lattimore
Alternate Pick #2
Leonard Fournette

Tak McKinley or Taco Charlton could very likely go here at the Saints' #11 selection, but Reuben Foster is the highest-rated of the three on our current DraftTek Big Board. At least for now. With the recent news of his surgery for a torn rotator cuff, it will be interesting to see what happens to the ultimate draft position of Reuben Foster when teams begin to dig further into his full post-op prognosis.

Beyond that, Foster is certain to lose all opportunities to prepare during rookie mini-camp and a huge chunk of offseason workouts with the team. Prior to the medical news on Foster, most scouts agreed that he has all the intangibles, athleticism, and IQ to run a defense in the NFL. He might not be a top pass-rushing threat in the Saints' defensive scheme, but this is a guy who can help make that unit solid and consistently ready on each snap. He may not have elite speed, but can attack and defend from sideline to sideline. New Orleans can use his ability and steadying influence in the middle as they try to claw their way back into at least the middle of the league (statistically) on defense. The past few years have seen them steadily remain in the lower tier of NFL defenses, including 27th in total defense last season.


12 Cleveland
O.J. Howard
    Alabama
    TE
    Reach/Value:     -11
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
255
Alternate Pick #1
Deshaun Watson
Alternate Pick #2
Marshon Lattimore

I have been kicking around a lot of ideas with this pick, and this week I landed on Howard. He was the best-overall prospect at the Senior Bowl, and it was the first time in his career that getting him the ball was the top priority of the offense. In the first three drives it was clear that Hue Jackson and his offensive coaches were interested in giving Howard opportunities. He did not disappoint, catching all four of his targets in the first quarter before giving way to the rest of the tight ends for the final three quarters. The bottom line is, Jackson located his best playmaker and took advantage of him, and I don't expect him or the Browns' front office to forget that come Draft Day. Howard will absolutely garner consideration with this pick, and I don't expect Gary Barnidge, (PFF's 25th-ranked TE) to be enough of a reason not to pull the trigger. ~Austin Smith


13 Arizona
Deshaun Watson
    Clemson
    QB
    Reach/Value:     -3
Height:
6'2"
Weight:
210
Alternate Pick #1
John Ross
Alternate Pick #2
Corey Davis

The biggest news of the week is that Carson Palmer will be returning to the Cardinals in 2017. Palmer's return answers some short-term questions at the position, but there are still some long-term concerns about the future of the most impactful position on any roster. The Cardinals will enter the season with a 37-year-old starter in Palmer and a 33-year-old backup in Drew Stanton. Even Zac Dysert, a developmental prospect that sits third on the depth chart, just turned 27 years old. GM Steve Keim seemed to confirm that the Cardinals are in the market for a young QB when he said this week, "You're not a GM for very long if you don't find (a quarterback)."

One could argue that Clemson's Deshaun Watson could be the Cardinals' QB of the future. Watson has thrown for over 10,000 yards with 90 TDs, 32 INTs, and a 67.4% completion percentage over his collegiate career. His poise and leadership landed Clemson in two National Championship games, bringing home a National Title this past season. The Cards will likely hesitate due to Watson's inconsistent accuracy on deep balls, but he could unlock more arm strength and improved accuracy by tweaking his mechanics. It's going to be tempting to take a prospect that fills an immediate need on a team with a "win-now" attitude, but a QB prospect like Watson could ensure prolonged success in Arizona.


14 Indianapolis
Takkarist McKinley
    UCLA
    EDGE
    Reach/Value:     -6
Height:
6'2"
Weight:
258
Alternate Pick #1
Marshon Lattimore
Alternate Pick #2
Quincy Wilson

With new GM Chris Ballard making only a couple of tweaks to the Colts' roster to date (this CMD will have been finalized on Tuesday, February 14th), it still remains to be seen just how much action he will engage in during the off-season. I am nearly 100% certain there will be quite a few changes on defense, and that will create additional cap money (already estimated to be around $50M or more) that could be directed towards some free agents in the coming weeks.

For now, this CMD will pretend like no free-agent EDGE rusher was acquired and GM Chris Ballard plans to build the front seven primarily through the draft.

UCLA's Tak McKinley is the selection this week, and the only immediate concern with such a pick is the status of his shoulder. If it's 100%, the Colts may get a chance to select him at their current draft position.

The other concern will be if Ballard and new Indy D-Coordinator Ted Monachino think Tak can make a difference as a 3-4 edge rusher, as opposed to someone better suited to come out of a three-point stance in a 4-3 base. McKinley, if healthy, represents solid potential off the edge for the Colts.

Currently ranked at #20 overall on the DraftTek Big Board, McKinley's work ethic and background help provide strong examples of both his character and determination to succeed.


15 Philadelphia
Corey Davis
    W Michigan
    WRF
    Reach/Value:     -4
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
205
Alternate Pick #1
John Ross
Alternate Pick #2
Leonard Fournette

You know, a lot of people may say that the Eagles' starting outside receiver duo of Nelson Agholor (36 REC, 365 YDS) and Dorial Green-Beckham (36 REC, 392 YDS) were the biggest pair of underachieving, unproductive, uncompetitive, mentally fragile, baby-oil-fingered doofuses in the NFL last year...

Anyway, on to this week's picks. I have been preaching relentlessly that the Eagles should use Free Agency to acquire a #1 WR, and use their high draft picks on CBs, edge rushers, or even an O-Tackle --important positions that great teams are built upon. However, this week we go with popular opinion and nab WR Corey Davis. Davis is an intriguing (and trendy) prospect with prototypical build, elite acceleration in the open field, and top-end playmaking ability once the ball is in his hands.

Fans of Davis
often compare him to a young Terrell Owens, whereas more skeptical Eagles' fans feel he might simply be Jordan Mathews 2.0 (i.e. good player, just not worth the 15th pick). I am torn on which edge of that spectrum I fall; however, if your goal is trying to find a deja vu great Eagles' WR, I feel there is a better chance of Dede Westbrook becoming the next DeSean Jackson than of seeing Corey Davis doing crunches in his driveway while catching 15 TDs a year a la T.O.. While Davis's ceiling is debatable, his dominant production in college (332 REC, 5285 YDS, 52 TD), along with top-notch physical tools, work ethic, and intangibles, make him a relatively safe pick. More than likely, the WORST you're going to get with this guy is simply a good receiver. ~Brozer, Eagles Analyst


16 Baltimore
Leonard Fournette
    LSU
    RBF
    Reach/Value:     +13
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
230
Alternate Pick #1
Marshon Lattimore
Alternate Pick #2
Dalvin Cook

It is hard to imagine a better scenario for a Ravens' franchise that has struggled without a feature back, first Jamal Lewis and then Ray Rice. Due to his nagging injuries, people forget what a special talent the Bayou Bengal is. Fournette can and should remind fans of Adrian Peterson, and he is more than capable of having an Ezekiel Elliott-esque rookie impact. Remember, this is a prospect who, as a Sophomore, had 5 games where he carried the ball 20+ times and averaged more than 7ypc, with 4 of those games being against Power 5 programs

The last two seasons, the Ravens have finished 21st and 24th in rushing yards per carry, and the franchise seems to lack a playoff recipe with the running game in such a dire condition. There is little to think about should the LSU product and way-too-early OROY front-runner be available at pick #16, should he fall this far. Marshon Lattimore and Cam Robinson would otherwise merit consideration here, but Fournette is too good to pass up. He is a rare talent.

Traded Round 1 Picks:
Tennessee gets Los Angeles R1 Pick (2016 Draft trade)
Cleveland gets Philadelphia R1 Pick (2016 Draft trade)

Forward to Round 1 Picks 17- 32
Forward to Round 2 Picks 33-48
Forward to Round 2 Picks 49- 64
Forward to Round 3
Forward to Round 4
Forward to Round 5
Forward to Round 6
Forward to Round 7











Drafttek.com uses a computer model to simulate a 7-round 2017 NFL Mock Draft. Each team has an analyst who supplies data on 2017 team draft needs. The team needs are matched against a ranked list of draft prospects (aka "Big Board") to generate each selection in our 2017 NFL Mock Draft.

Drafttek Twitter:
Get Consensus Mock Draft revs upon release!
Big Ten Conference
Big Board Rankings
O/A Rank Big 10 Conference
Top-40 Players
Psn
10 Jabrill Peppers
Michigan
S
15 Ryan Ramczyk
Wisconsin
OT
21 Jourdan Lewis
Michigan
CB
22 Malik McDowell
Michigan St
DL5T
33 Taco Charlton
Michigan
EDGE
39 Chris Wormley
Michigan
DL5T
50 T.J. Watt
Wisconsin
EDGE
60 Amara Darboh
Michigan
WRF
62 Dan Feeney
Indiana
OG
66 Desmond King
Iowa
CB
92 Raekwon McMillan
Ohio State
ILB
94 Jaleel Johnson
Iowa
DL1T
102 Anthony Walker
Northwestern
ILB
105 Erik Magnuson
Michigan
OT
121 Dawuane Smoot
Illinois
EDGE
134 Montae Nicholson
Michigan St
S
140 Hardy Nickerson Jr
Illinois
OLB
141 Ryan Glasgow
Michigan
DL3T
146 Jake Butt
Michigan
TE
148 Channing Stribling
Michigan
CB
151 Corey Clement
Wisconsin
RBF
166 C.J. Beathard
Iowa
QB
178 Demetrious Cox
Michigan St
CB
194 Riley Bullough
Michigan St
ILB
195 Vince Biegel
Wisconsin
EDGE
207 Josiah Price
Michigan St
TE
210 Bart Houston
Wisconsin
QB
214 Jehu Chesson
Michigan
WRF
216 Kyle Kalis
Michigan
OG
230 Caroll Phillips
Illinois
EDGE
244 Jalen Myrick
Minnesota
CB
249 Chris Godwin
Penn St
WRF
255 Ben Gedeon
Michigan
ILB
257 Ben Braden
Michigan
OG
258 De'Veon Smith
Michigan
RBF
264 Marcus Oliver
Indiana
ILB
280 Cole Croston
Iowa
OT
281 Nate Gerry
Nebraska
S
282 Garret Sickels
Penn St
EDGE
283 Devine Redding
Indiana
RBF
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