O/A Rank Top-10 QBs
1 Josh Rosen
4 Sam Darnold
7 Baker Mayfield
15 Mason Rudolph
22 Josh Allen
37 Lamar Jackson
57 Luke Falk
76 Mike White
98 Riley Ferguson
112 Chase Litton
126 Kyle Lauletta
165 Alex McGough
166 Kurt Benkert
202 Brandon Silvers
209 Nic Shimonek
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2018 NFL Mock Draft #3: Broncos, Jets skip QBs!

February 21, 2018 1:15 AM EST
  • Offensive Linemen outpace QBs in RD1
  • Rich get Richer: Jags scoop up value Vea at #29
  • Interactive Trade Chart: Click Here!
  • Next mock draft Wednesday February 28th


1 Cleveland
Saquon Barkley
    Penn State
    RBF
    Reach/Value:     -4
Height:
5'11"
Weight:
223



As the Combine approaches, we have run into a bit of a lull in Draft World. Once workouts begin, there is sure to be plenty of movement on draft boards with prospects moving up and down, but until then, the same debates remain. With this pick, it has continuously been whether to take Barkley or the quarterback they prefer. I have gone back and forth with my stance, and this week I am sticking with the running back. In 2017, the Rams put up one of the most impressive turnarounds in recent memory thanks to Todd Gurley's emergence as one of the most dangerous weapons in football. While Barkley gets compared to a number of elite backs in the NFL, the Gurley-comp is probably my favorite. With that being said, Gurley was able to take the Rams from last in the league in yards per play in 2016 to sixth in 2017. With the Browns sitting near the bottom of the league in that same category, Barkley is simply too good to pass up. There are a number of avenues they can take to grab their quarterback, whether it is Kirk Cousins or the fourth-overall pick, but Barkley has the potential to be a franchise-changer.

~Austin Smith


2 NY Giants
Sam Darnold
    USC
    QB
    Reach/Value:     -2
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
225



You know that awful, deafened, 'bell-ringing' sound that plays after a large explosion in the movies? Well...that's all GM Dave Gettleman and the Reese family can hear in the war room after Cleveland passed on Sam Darnold in favor of Saquon Barkley. They had just convinced themselves that taking a kid with a bad attitude was OK at #2 based on his natural abilities as a pocket passer. They were ready to take the guy that even coaches and trainers at UCLA have a tough time truly endorsing; the Giants knew they simply needed to take the shot at a successor to Eli Manning. Josh Rosen was their guy! Well...he had to be their guy. But now, sorting through the rubble from the blast, the Giants' front office has Sam Darnold, the unrefined, yet talented, gunslinger with football character that could make an Eagle Scout blush, available to them. After staring at each other in a fog, they sit back and laugh, dumbfounded. Sam Darnold...? Sam Darnold. Sam Darnold! SAM DARNOLD!!!

This pick is perfect for the G-men. Darnold has all the tools to become a better QB than Eli ever was, and he has the right attitude to sit and learn behind Manning for a year or two. I have always found that the best way to gauge whether or not a pick is a good one or not is to listen to the radio shows/podcasts of your rival team. I can tell you right now: the voices in Dallas, DC, and Philly ain't happy. Home-run selection.

-Kennedy Paynter, DraftTek Guest Analyst (@Kennedy_Paynter on Twitter)


3 Indianapolis
Bradley Chubb
    NC State
    EDGE
    Reach/Value:     +1
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
273



Unless the Colts land Demarcus Lawrence in Free Agency, I'm of the belief that Bradley Chubb is the pick at #3. Hell, even if Lawrence is signed by the Colts, I think Chubb is still the pick. However, should the Colts get the former Cowboy in Free Agency and trade out of pick #3, all bets are off and their first pick could literally be any prospect from any position, regardless of need.

Imagine Indy trading out of pick #3 in the event they land FAs Demarcus Lawrence AND Nate Solder. Care to think that move out a few steps? I doubt it happens, but if it did, the shift would be seismic for the Colts in relationship to what they could accomplish this off-season. In the meantime, new HC Frank Reich has made it known that the Indy offense is going to be an in-your-face, aggressive unit while forcing defensive players and coaches to study, decipher, and react to the deception of formation just prior to the snap of the ball.

Frank Gore and Kamar Aiken are the two offensive players with the highest hit against the Indy cap were they to re-sign in Indy ($4M and $2.6M, respectively) and future HOF-er Adam Vinatieri would be another $3M. I doubt we see AV moving on, but the two mentioned at first have probably played their final game for Indy. Same is likely true of the top cap hit on the defensive side (as far as free agents go) for OLB Barkevious Mingo. The Colts need more speed at the LB position with their move back to a 4-3 base D, and while Mingo might be willing to take a stab at the 4-3 change, the Colts' new DC Eberflus may want to make sure his D has an injection of new blood.

Free Agency will help give us mocker-types a better idea of which way Indy is heading in the 2018 NFL Draft, as there are several key players out there that would be immediate upgrades & remedies at their position in Indianapolis.


4 Cleveland
Josh Rosen
    UCLA
    QB
    Reach/Value:     +3
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
210



I am starting to become much more intrigued with what can happen with this pick. It is no secret that the Browns have plenty of cap space to go after Kirk Cousins, or any quarterback they want in Free Agency. They also have the draft resources to do the same. What is intriguing is the flexibility that gives them to really overhaul this roster. As I have mentioned, they need playmakers on offense, which is why I have them taking Saquon Barkley first. Unless LeVeon Bell is willing to leave Pittsbugh, Barkley is the top running back available this off-season in any platform. Another area of concern is the secondary, and unlike Quarterback or Wide Receiver, Free Agency isn't packed with talented corners and safeties. So for anyone, including the Browns, looking for secondary help, Minkah Fitzpatrick could be the top player on the list. Now I've got them taking Rosen here, but if they believe that Cousins is just as good an option, then the best way to fill their top-three needs (quarterback, offensive playmaker, secondary) with the best combination of talent may involve giving Kirk Cousins the richest contract the NFL has ever seen, and using these picks on Barkley and Fitzpatrick.

~Austin Smith


5 Denver
Minkah Fitzpatrick
    Alabama
    S
    Reach/Value:     +2
Height:
6'2"
Weight:
216



The next key date for most Broncos' fans will be March 14th when the 2018 league year begins. That is when NFL teams can officially sign free agents, and there is one particular player that everyone will be following on that day. Kirk Cousins is likely to be the player that sets everything in motion, and for Denver, he can make this decision a lot easier. Denver still has major needs on offense and in their secondary. Minkah Fitzpatrick is going to be one of the top defenders in the draft, as well as one of the most versatile. He can improve multiple positions on that roster which is why I gave him the edge over Quenton Nelson, but if Denver fails to get their hands on Cousins, they may find themselves in desperation mode here. As this scenario presents, neither top-quarterback prospect makes it to this pick, and I wouldn't be willing to sit back and cross my fingers that they might come April. John Elway will have to pull some strings in order to guarantee that he can get his hands on either Sam Darnold or Josh Rosen, or we could be looking at a much-worse situation moving forward.

~Austin Smith


6 NY Jets
Mike McGlinchey
    Notre Dame
    OT
    Reach/Value:     -2
Height:
6'7"
Weight:
310



The Jets head into the 2018 season with over $73M in Cap Space at the moment. That opens up a lot of potential scenarios in Free Agency, and in turn, the Draft. So until things settle down a bit, we will continue the try a few different approaches here.

This week, we try the Mike Maccagnan tried and trusted, "Best Player Available" approach, and see what falls to us during this CMD. And going by the results, it ticks a lot of boxes. We get the top OT on our Big Board in Notre Dame Tackle, Mike McGlinchey. We get a QB and Pass Rusher in RD2, the top Center on our Big Board in RD3 and some nice depth with our remaining picks. I think most Jet fans would sign up for this in a heartbeat.

McGlinchey is a 4-year starter for the Fighting Irish and has been coached to a very high standard. He possess wonderful technique and will be a certain Day One starter in the league. The only real question is if McGlinchey will start on the Left or the Right.


7 Tampa Bay
Quenton Nelson
    Notre Dame
    OG
    Reach/Value:     -5
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
329

It's pretty well-established that pass-rush is the Bucs' biggest need; the team only garnered 22 sacks on the season (last in the NFL). Of those 22, 11 came from the interior DL Mac Attack; Gerald McCoy produced 6 and Clinton McDonald bagged 5. No single Defensive End generated more than 2.5, truly a sad state of affairs.

There is a guy in the draft who can help --that's Bradley Chubb. Besides Chubb, no other DEs (i.e. Marcus Davenport, Arden Key, Harold Landry) would be expected to contribute more as a rookie than the incumbent bunch; they'd need a year or two of development, by which time HC Dirk Koetter may be gone.

Draft dynamics could play out where the Colts trade out of their #3 to some team looking to draft Darnold/Rosen, which could push Chubb down to the Bucs at #7. That would be great, but in this mock draft, Indy stays put and takes Chubb. The next-best draft option for the Bucs would be CB/S Minkah Fitzpatrick, who fills big holes in the secondary, but Fitz is off the board, too.

Consolation prize Quenton Nelson would be an immediate starter at OG and boost both the running and passing games. We like him over Derwin James or Vita Vea --who'd presumptively improve pass rush from the middle, but could Vea really improve the sack output of the Macs? A trade-down would be great if the Bucs could swing it, but in lieu of that scenario, Nelson is the man.


8 Chicago
Calvin Ridley
    Alabama
    WRF
    Reach/Value:     -15
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
190

Coming off of a historically poor season, the Bears' Wide Receiver corps is actually in worse shape than you think. As of this printing, Chicago has a total of five WRs under contract - Markus Wheaton, Tanner Gentry, Kevin White, DeMarcus Ayers, Mekale McKay - who in 2017 caught a combined eight passes. EIGHT! Josh Bellamy dropped more passes than that. By comparison, Antonio Brown caught 7.2 passes per game last season.The hope was that Chicago could target a FA such as Jarvis Landry, but with the Dolphins applying the Franchise Tag to him, the Bears' chances of improving the passing game with a big-name signing are slim and none...and slim just left the building. Ridley would be the first step in a drastic overhaul of the Depth Chart, a young, electric performer with the talent and experience to grow into a feature role. If Pace gets nervous about taking the 6'1 Ridley this high, look for him to target Nelson (a recent pupil to new Bears O-Line Coach Harry Hiestand) or, with the recent release of Jerrell Freeman, perhaps ILB Roquan Smith. For now though, putting the best WR on the team with the worst WR talent is an ideal fit.




9 Oakland
Roquan Smith
    Georgia
    ILB
    Reach/Value:     -1
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
225



I agree with the admonition in this ESPN article for the Raiders to draft the best player available in the draft. Outside of QB or interior OL, there is room for improvement across the board. That said, I am glad that Bill Barnwell will not be making decisions on Draft Day for the Silver and Black. Quite simply, the SEC's leading tackler (3rd in TFLs) should sit very high on the team's draft board. Consider Smith's dominance as UGA's season came to a close. In the last 3 games, the every-down linebacker accumulated 37 tackles, 5.5 TFLs, 2 sacks, and 2 FRs. When the Dawgs were at their best, it came because Smith took his game to another level and, ultimately, took games over. For the Raiders, passing on Smith should only happen under one of three conditions: 1) an elite player falls into their lap (Bradley Chubb, Minkah Fitzpatrick, and Saquon Barkley would fit this category), 2) a similar-caliber player at a greater position of need is available (arguments can be made for Denzel Ward, but I don't see it), or 3) they get a great trade-down. Outside of the three I mentioned, Roquan Smith is the single player that can most quickly upgrade the roster.


10 San Francisco
Isaiah Wynn
    Georgia
    OG
    Reach/Value:     -24
Height:
6'2"
Weight:
302



If he were a couple of inches taller, Isaiah Wynn's blend of strength and athleticism would have him in the discussion to be the first OT off the board in the 2018 Draft. Instead, Georgia's undersized, All-SEC Tackle will transition back to Guard (where he played earlier in his college career) where he finds himself competing for draft position with possibly the best Guard prospect ever, Quenton Nelson. Still, Nelson's talent shouldn't overshadow Wynn's accomplishments, as he played a critical role in Georgia's run-up to, and near-upset victory in, the National Title Game where he stymied Alabama's talent-rich defense, surrendering no QB pressures on 37 pass attempts. Wynn then went on to dominate the Senior Bowl, where he was named Offensive Lineman of the Week for his efforts in practice.

Realistically, Wynn may be more of a trade-down target for the Niners. But as a plug-and-play starter with Pro Bowl potential at a critical position of need, San Francisco could do worse with the tenth pick. As an added bonus, Wynn's athleticism and experience at Tackle make him an upgrade over Zane Beadles as an emergency tackle if the injury bug bites again in 2018.

-Brett Clancy, 49ers Analyst (@thebrettclancy on Twitter)


11 Miami
Maurice Hurst
    Michigan
    DL3T
    Reach/Value:     +2
Height:
6'2"
Weight:
282



The Dolphins have a variety of needs; unfortunately, the best prospects that can provide them immediate assistance are off the board. Despite the noise, we don't think Ryan Tannehill has anything to worry about with this pick. Tannehill's body of work is impressive. He's thrown for 4,000 yards in the last 3 full seasons that he's played, despite getting sacked an average of 50 times per season. What he clearly needs is better protection. Unfortunately this mock shows three OL-men already off the board. The hope is that when the real draft comes around, teams like Washington, Arizona, and Buffalo will come a-quarterback huntin' and trade into the Top10, thereby pushing some Dolphin targets down to the #11.

In this mock, the Fins take Maurice Hurst to fill the role that Jordan Phillips was supposed to. Phillips ranked 74th among Interior Defenders per ProFootballFocus.com, and was even replaced in the starting lineup by rookie Davon Godchaux for several games.

Switching topics, DraftTek is in need of a Dolphins Analyst. Do you bleed aqua and orange? Do you know more about the Fins than their own coaching staff? If you like to dig into stats and can write at a collegiate level, drop me a line at Drafttekguy@Gmail.com.


12 Cincinnati
Brian O'Neill
    Pittsburgh
    OT
    Reach/Value:     -1
Height:
6'6"
Weight:
305

If the Super Bowl showed us anything, it's that if you have a cohesive, talented O-Line pounding on the other team's defense for 60 minutes, you can hang with anyone...even the GOAT. The Bengals' offensive line was far from dominant in 2017. They allowed Andy Dalton (despite his NFL-best release time of 2.48 secs) to be sacked 40 times. Only the Buffalo Bills allowed that many sacks and still made the playoffs. The Bengals were pretty ineffective on the ground as well, only gaining 1,366 yards in 16 games (the Jaguars gained a third of that in the post-season alone). The Left Tackle spot definitely needs to be addressed; they had the 11th-most Negative Runs when running to the left, and were in the bottom third of the league in 10+ yard runs off the left side.

More than anything, the Bengals need playmakers. I would be awfully tempted to select Marcus Davenport or Derwin James here. Nevertheless, the Bengals roll with Pitt OT Brian O'Neill once again this week. Pro Football Focus rated O'Neill as their top-overall pass-blocking tackle in 2016. He's also been #1 in the country the last two years in FGTD (Fat Guy Touchdowns). I seriously question his strength, though, so I'll be curious how he performs during the bench-press portion of the Combine. Maybe he'll knock out 35 reps and prove me wrong. Or, maybe he'll skip the bench due to some "undisclosed issue", and then miraculously heal in time for the 3-cone drill. O'Neill could make himself a lot of money with a strong performance in Indy.


13 Washington
Marcus Davenport
    UTSA
    EDGE
    Reach/Value:     +7
Height:
6'6"
Weight:
250



My Twitter inbox has become inundated with people questioning why the Redskins are selecting an EDGE player with the 13th-overall pick. 'We have the #2 pass rush in the league! Taking an EDGE is out of the question', one reader stated. Listen. The NFL's Next-Gen stats are great, but anyone who watched 64 quarters of Redskins football this year knows that (a) Supposed #1 pass-rusher Preston Smith isn't a world-beater, and (b) The Redskins don't have a a consistent, much less dominant, pass-rush. Even if Preston was everything this stat makes him out to be, he is inconsistent and he is in the final year of his rookie deal. Speaking to his inconsistencies, Smith started the year with a sack in each of the first four games, and then was held from a full sack until Week 15. That's the best pass-rusher in the league? A guy who spent the middle 11 weeks of the season in No-Man's Land? Don't get me wrong, I love Preston Smith, but come on, guys; Ryan Kerrigan and Preston Smith on the EDGE just don't scare anybody (except me as a Redskins' fan).

So, Davenport is the pick here. And a great one at that. As I stated before, Smith might be on his way out the door and the Redskins need something scarier on the EDGE. Davenport needs to put his basketball skills into use on the football field, but once his segmented body movements become a fluid rush, this man is the definition of scary. Well, if 6'7", 255 lbs of athletic freak coming at you at (projected) 4.6 speed is scary to you, that is.

-Kennedy Paynter, Redskins Analyst (@Kennedy_Paynter on Twitter)


14 Green Bay
Denzel Ward
    Ohio State
    CB
    Reach/Value:     -11
Height:
5'11"
Weight:
184



With wunderkind Marcus Davenport again snatched out of the Packers' grabby hands, perhaps it's time to pivot and go in a different direction with this first pick. The Packers' pass defense was downright awful last season. How awful, you ask? Well, according to Football Outsiders, the Packers were the worst team in the league when it came to covering other teams' #1 WRs. They were also 26th in the league against #2 WRs and 29th covering running backs as receivers.

Overall, the Packers defense let opposing quarterbacks complete 67.8 percent of their passes and allowed them an average passer rating of 102, which ranked 31st in the NFL. While injuries hit the cornerback group hard, that's no excuse for players looking terrible out there when healthy. The Packers desperately need a cornerback that can stay with a receiver anywhere on the field, and the ultra-athletic Ward could be that guy. He sticks to receivers like gum to the bottoms of their shoes and is just as hard to get rid of.

- @JerseyAlGBP, Packers Analyst

Player Highlights


15 Arizona
Baker Mayfield
    Oklahoma
    QB
    Reach/Value:     +8
Height:
6'0"
Weight:
210

The Cardinals' first option to add a new QB will be Free Agency, but their salary cap situation makes it seem more likely that they'll find a starting-caliber signal-caller through the Draft. In a recent survey, 57% of mock drafts have the Cards targeting a QB. Josh Allen appears to be the favorite (30%), and Baker Mayfield is the second-most-popular option (14%). In this CMD, the Cardinals find themselves in the very fortunate position of being able to pick between the two without having to trade up.

Arizona could be an ideal landing spot for Baker Mayfield. The Heisman Trophy winner has had an incredibly-productive career with 14,607 yards and 131 TDs over 48 appearances. Last season, the Cardinals had three of the top seven most-aggressive passers in the league. Mayfield, who had an impressive 11.5 yards/attempt in 2017, would easily fit into the conventional Arizona aerial attack. What remains to be seen is what influence new HC Steve Wilks and OC Mike McCoy will have on Arizona's offensive philosophy. If they choose to maintain an aggressive downfield attack, Mayfield's experience and arm talent could make him an attractive option as an early starter.

-James Siebers, Cardinals Analyst


16 Baltimore
Courtland Sutton
    SMU
    WRF
    Reach/Value:     -1
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
225

The Wizard, Ozzie Newsome, has been...well...a wiz as a GM in Baltimore. As he steps down after the 2018 season, he has two options; 1-leave his post with a nagging consistent failure in evaluating WRs or 2-draft a WR that covers up his failures in the past at the position. Since the franchise's first draft in 1996, the Ravens haven't successfully drafted a single #1 receiver. Obviously complete and utter hyperbole from Mr. Paynter here. No way that's true, right? Oh, it's true. The Ravens have drafted 24 WRs since then, 7 in the first two rounds, and absolutely zero have panned out (unless you think Torrey Smith was worth a second round pick). Ozzie wants to fix this-you just know he does.

While this WR class doesn't have any elite prospects, there are quite a few prospects that, in the right system, could star as rookies. With elite size and physical prowess reminiscent of Alshon Jefferey, Courtland Sutton is one of those players. Sutton looks like a Greek God and has improved each year at SMU. His route-running needs work and he needs to improve in gearing-up and gearing-down in-and-out of cuts, but with his size and wingspan, he is the type of player that can catch 7 TDs a year without running a single route. With Joe Flacco aging, Sutton could be the perfect possession receiver and a perfect guy to make a diminishing QB right on less-than-ideal throws. Hopefully, Courtland Sutton will allow Ozzie Newsome to step down with a smile.

-Kennedy Paynter, Guest Analyst (@Kennedy_Paynter on Twitter)

Traded Round 1 Picks:
Buffalo gets Kansas City R1 Pick (2017 Draft trade)
Cleveland gets Houston R1 Pick (2017 Draft trade)

Forward to Round 1 Picks 17- 32
Forward to Round 2
Forward to Round 3
Forward to Round 4
Forward to Round 5
Forward to Round 6
Forward to Round 7








Drafttek Twitter:
Get Consensus Mock Draft revs upon release!
Big Ten Conference
Big Board Rankings
O/A Rank Big 10 Conference
Top-40 Players
Psn
5 Saquon Barkley
Penn State
RBF
9 Maurice Hurst
Michigan
DL3T
20 Joshua Jackson
Iowa
CB
25 Denzel Ward
Ohio State
CB
40 Sam Hubbard
Ohio State
EDGE
43 Tegray Scales
Indiana
OLB
63 Billy Price
Ohio State
OG
74 Brendan Mahon
Penn St
OG
91 Jalyn Holmes
Ohio State
DL5T
92 DaeSean Hamilton
Penn State
WRF
93 D.J. Moore
Maryland
WRS
95 Steven Richardson
Minnesota
DL3T
99 Josey Jewell
Iowa
ILB
100 Sean Welsh
Iowa
OG
101 Jamarco Jones
Ohio State
OT
104 Akrum Wadley
Iowa
RBF
106 Marcus Allen
Penn State
S
111 Mike Gesicki
Penn State
TE
138 Jerome Baker
Ohio State
OLB
141 Michael Hill
Ohio State
DL3T
148 Nick Nelson
Wisconsin
CB
151 Ike Boettger
Iowa
OT
154 Troy Fumagalli
Wisconsin
TE
159 Kemoko Turay
Rutgers
OLB
160 Ian Thomas
Indiana
TE
162 Godwin Igwebulke
Northwestern
S
163 J.C. Jackson
Maryland
CB
175 Olive Sagapolu
Wisconsin
DL1T
177 Damon Webb
Ohio State
S
183 James Daniels
Iowa
OC
186 Justin Jackson
Northwestern
RBC
192 Conor Sheehy
Wisconsin
DL5T
196 Mike McCray
Michigan
ILB
200 Simmie Cobbs Jr.
Indiana
WRF
205 Mason Cole
Michigan
OC
210 Tracy Sprinkle
Ohio State
DL3T
216 Nathan Bazata
Iowa
DL3T
221 Tyquan Lewis
Ohio State
EDGE
224 Griffin Oakes
Indiana
PK
228 Tanner Lee
Nebraska
QB
Source Link:
Drafttek Player Rankings

Drafttek.com uses a computer model to simulate a 7-round 2018 NFL Mock Draft. Each team has an analyst who supplies data on 2018 team draft needs. The team needs are matched against a ranked list of draft prospects (aka "Big Board") to generate each selection in our 2018 NFL Mock Draft.


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